Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.428413 0.506917 0.594393 0.698897 0.820144 0.956181 1.120164
2025-01-19 0.308827 0.409580 0.533804 0.697404 0.906268 1.162985 1.501304
2025-01-26 0.253357 0.365471 0.514306 0.724579 1.011906 1.388379 1.916133
2025-02-02 0.232052 0.358187 0.535834 0.801173 1.183585 1.710132 2.484197
2025-02-09 0.203089 0.333277 0.526642 0.830146 1.288651 1.948037 2.958331
2025-02-16 0.171337 0.297863 0.495386 0.820045 1.332274 2.098847 3.318425
2025-02-23 0.142396 0.261559 0.456590 0.791393 1.341528 2.195864 3.603172
2025-03-02 0.117768 0.228091 0.417015 0.755020 1.332141 2.260060 3.839015
2025-03-09 0.107655 0.218324 0.415399 0.780733 1.425285 2.492625 4.359323
2025-03-16 0.091403 0.194522 0.385799 0.753683 1.425024 2.570843 4.631697
2025-03-23 0.083405 0.185250 0.381091 0.770118 1.501270 2.782356 5.142962
2025-03-30 0.076657 0.177383 0.377843 0.788453 1.581959 3.007048 5.693261
2025-04-06 0.067576 0.163605 0.362073 0.782473 1.619883 3.164571 6.148367
2025-04-13 0.059917 0.151694 0.348559 0.779487 1.663557 3.337118 6.647145
2025-04-20 0.056101 0.147827 0.351205 0.809531 1.774580 3.643456 7.416975
2025-04-27 0.056920 0.155017 0.378521 0.894345 2.003725 4.192162 8.685495
2025-05-04 0.053552 0.151411 0.381338 0.926412 2.126900 4.544460 9.601689
2025-05-11 0.047631 0.140317 0.365531 0.915233 2.157471 4.715429 10.174731
2025-05-18 0.041228 0.126776 0.342033 0.883518 2.140039 4.787144 10.553672
2025-05-25 0.035220 0.113150 0.316323 0.843245 2.099021 4.805804 10.824335
2025-06-01 0.033372 0.110984 0.319053 0.871717 2.216502 5.167116 11.832659
2025-06-08 0.029024 0.100634 0.299162 0.841764 2.195181 5.228070 12.209340
2025-06-15 0.027206 0.097637 0.298361 0.859963 2.289381 5.548048 13.164157